AMP MARKET LETTER
JACK A. BASS
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The Apprentice Millionaire Market News Letter
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Recovery - Slow , Yes , painfully slow - but Economic Recovery IS Underway
For another viewpoint -  John Mauldin :

“The unemployment numbers this morning were just bad, even though the spin doctors were out in
force. Of course we knew that because of census workers being laid off the number would be negative,
and it was, down 125,000. But the "bright spot" we were told about was that private payrolls came in at
83,000 new jobs. Let's look at what you did not see or hear.
First, last month's dismal (there's that word again)
private job-creation number was revised down from
41,000 to 33,000. So in two months, total private
job creation is 116,000 jobs. We need 125,000 jobs
per month just to keep up with population grow “
The news in my view points to a long slow recovery –
but a recovery without inflation at this point:
“The glass is half empty when you’re at the end of
the quarter,” said Wayne Wilbanks, chief investment
officer at Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas in Norfolk,
Virginia, which manages $1.5 billion. “It’s continued
concerns with the economic slowdown and global
deterioration issues as highlighted by the Spanish
potential downgrade and the jobs data.”

ADP Report
Companies in the U.S. added fewer workers in June than forecast, according to data today from ADP
Employer Services. Shares had advanced earlier after the European Central Bank said it will lend the
region’s banks less money than economists had forecast, spurring speculation the region’s lenders are
stronger than had been expected. The S&P 500 had gained as the Institute for Supply Management-
Chicago Inc.’s business barometer showed manufacturing is overcoming turmoil in financial markets.
Any gains today were limited after companies in the U.S. added fewer workers in June than forecast,
according to data from a private report based on payrolls. The 13,000 gain followed a revised 57,000
increase the prior month, data from ADP Employer Services showed today. Economists surveyed by
Bloomberg News had anticipated an increase of 60,000,


BP is Speculative Not Investment Grade – but …
The continued fall may be arrested if the relief well
is an early success and if oil prices move up with
the recovery.
That does not mean a sure thing – there may be
no bottom to the BP costs of clean up and  the
PR disaster. Failure of the relief effort means a
failure of BP itself ,Contrary to others ( who
shall remain nameless as Hilary  is a bright
girl ) it is possible for BP to go out of business.
In the meantime . Here is what Hilary said when
urging you to buy at $ 34.50 ..
The worst oil spill penalty in history was Exxon
Valdez, and in that case the initial judgment
against them was for $5 billion…which almost a
decade later was adjusted down to just $500
million. Now I’m not saying that BP’s penalties won’t be MUCH higher, but for a company that makes at
least $20 billion a year…this isn’t going to bankrupt them!
Did I also mention the political pressure to keep BP around? BP makes up an astounding 12% of the
London FTSE’s Stock exchange’s dividend yield. With the UK still being our biggest political ally in the
world, do you really see the Obama administration driving them out of business (the equivalent impact
on the NYSE would be if J&J, ExxonMobil and AT&T all went bust on the same day!).
So now that you see why I just don’t foresee BP going bust, that’s why I recommend you load up on BP
shares at any price under $34.50. I’ve seen this time and again in my years as a money manager, once
the rest of the world comes to their senses and also acknowledges that these guys are going to be
around for a good long time, we should see a really quick move back up into the $50’s.
( AMP still favors Exxon and Chevron ) There is enough trouble in the market forecast to allow you to
avoid seeking out more problems.
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